Fantasy Baseball Rankings, News and Sleepers

Stock Up and Down: Chase Headley and J.D. Martinez

RotoAce continues its in-season feature where we single out one player whose stock is either on the rise or decline in fantasy baseball. This feature will provide expert fantasy baseball analysis to help you negotiate trades or feel safe in dropping a player to pick up someone else.

arrowaSTOCK UP
A look at a player whose stock is on the rise and you need to acquire immediately through trade or waivers.
arrowaSTOCK DOWN
A look at a player whose stock is on the decline and you need to try to trade or maybe drop to pick up someone else.
Chase Headley, Yankees J.D. Martinez, Tigers
So do you think Headley is enjoying playing outside of Petco Park?

Since the trade to the Yankees, Headley is hitting .348 (8-for-23) with a home run, a walk-off hit, a three-hit game and a general feeling of being cut loose from a hitting prison. Like most Padres hitters, Petco has killed his overall production (.245/.331./.375 at home compared with .286/.360/.444 away from home).

If that weren’t enough to make you go trade for him immediately, keep this in mind as well: Headley’s hottest career months are August and September (.817 and .807 career OPS including games at Petco).

Martinez is just 3-for-26 in his past seven games played, and he’s missed two games with a quad injury as well.

This cold stretch is the first prolonged slump he’s really had, and to give you an idea of just how great he’s been, he’s STILL rocking a .912 OPS this month after a 1.048 in June.

The biggest worry with him is his .371 BABIP, which he won’t sustain all season, and his low 5.5% walk rate. So is this the beginning of a big correction? If you can get someone to pay for what he’s done so far, you might want to consider it. With the low walk rate, he may have a hard time breaking out of a prolonged slump.

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Stock Up and Down: Carlos Santana and Matt Cain

RotoAce continues its in-season feature where we single out one player whose stock is either on the rise or decline in fantasy baseball. This feature will provide expert fantasy baseball analysis to help you negotiate trades or feel safe in dropping a player to pick up someone else.

arrowaSTOCK UP
A look at a player whose stock is on the rise and you need to acquire immediately through trade or waivers.
arrowaSTOCK DOWN
A look at a player whose stock is on the decline and you need to try to trade or maybe drop to pick up someone else.
Carlos Santana, Indians Matt Cain, Giants
Santana is pretty ridiculously hot right now, already hitting a home run today as we post this.

Entering Sunday’s game, Santana was 11-for 19 with 4 HRs and 6 RBIs in his previous five games, adding 12 points to his batting average and starting to bring him out of his unlucky days. Even with the hot streak, his BABIP entering Sunday was still sitting at .250 on the season.

As with most hitters, those things tend to work themselves out over the course of a season, so if there’s any owners out there who are still frustrated and want to sell at a discount, let them.

Cain’s elbow injury could be getting a much worse diagnosis than originally thought.The durable right-hander went on the DL on July 21 after he said he had a “cranky” elbow.I’m sure his hope was to rest a few days and come off the DL at the earliest date possible, resuming his usual 30-plus starts like he had the previous eight seasons.

The original MRI came back clean and there was no reason to doubt this would happen. Now the team has traded for Jake Peavy and saying things like “we’re probably going to have to seek second opinions and more diagnostics,” which would push him back further.

It’s looking more and more likely the team might just shut him down to be safe. Stay tuned.

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Stock Up/Down: Odrisamer Despaigne/Carlos Beltran

RotoAce continues its daily in-season feature where we single out one player each day whose stock is either on the rise or decline in fantasy baseball. This feature will provide expert fantasy baseball analysis to help you negotiate trades or feel safe in dropping a player to pick up someone else.

arrowaSTOCK UP
A look at a player whose stock is on the rise and you need to acquire immediately through trade or waivers.
arrowaSTOCK DOWN
A look at a player whose stock is on the decline and you need to try to trade or maybe drop to pick up someone else.
Odrisamer Despaigne, Padres Carlos Beltran, Yankees
Still waiting for a bad start from the Cuban pitcher? Maybe next time. Or maybe not at this rate.

Despaigne nearly matched Clayton Kershaw Thursday night, throwing seven more great innings, allowing just 2 ER with seven Ks and no walks. In four starts now, he has a paltry 1.35 ERA and, if the strikeouts become more like Thursday ngiht, he may be on the verge of becoming a very interesting pitcher considering the home park.

Beware the 4.13 xFIP, but much of that is due to the fact he wasn’t striking out many batters before.

How many different parts on one guy’s body can be injured at once. Beltran is trying to find out, apparently.

After battling an elbow injury for a while, he came up with a lame knee and then broke his nose after being hit with a ball during batting practice before Wednesday’s game. Now he’s on the 7-day concussion DL.

Frustrating for his owners, because he can still be a pretty productive when he can actually stay on the field.

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More Fantasy Baseball News

Top Fantasy Baseball Sleepers

Breakouts: Top 20 High-Ceiling Targets

Kole Calhoun

Kole Calhoun

If you’re reading this, it’s because you’re hoping to win your fantasy baseball league this year.

Whether it’s for bragging rights, money or both, you’re looking for the edge that will land your team in first place by season’s end.

Besides getting the most value out of every pick in your draft and working the waiver wire diligently all season, the thing that distinguishes winning fantasy teams is having as many breakout performances as possible.

The winning teams of last year most often had at least some from the group of Chris Davis, Matt Carpenter, Josh Donaldson, Jean Segura, Starling Marte, Hisashi Iwakuma, Jose Fernandez, Matt Harvey, Kenley Jansen and Koji Uehara. I had Donaldson, Iwakuma, Harvey and Uehara on my winning team.

These players were drafted in the late rounds if at all then went on to dominant fantasy seasons. Let’s call them breakouts.

Here is a list of my favorite breakout possibilities for this season, guys who I am targeting for their very high ceilings:

Yasmani Grandal, Padres, catcher

Two of my favorite skills to look for are power and patience, and Grandal has both. The 25-year-old has a career walk rate of 16.7% to go with nine career homers in 334  plate appearances. The skill set has the upside to hit .280 with a .380 OBP and 18 homers, yet the questions about his surgically-repaired knee and PED suspension have depressed his draft stock to the point where he’s a tremendous value.

Yan Gomes, Indians, catcher

The 26-year-old Brazilian surprised last year with a .294 average and 11 homers in 293 at-bats, yet his lack of a track record has him being drafted outside of the top 12 catchers. The Indians have moved Carlos Santana mostly off catcher to first, third and DH to clear playing time for Gomes, who could turn in a .300 average with 20 homers and become a top-five backstop. (more…)

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Overrated: Overvalued Draft Targets

Perception goes a long way toward determining a players’ fantasy value.

Veteran stars carry with them a reputation for fantasy success, but that sometimes hides a declining skill set.

Players coming off down seasons are often undervalued and ones returning from big years carry with them a premium.

Some have a reputation as injury prone, which can depress draft value to the point that the label makes a player undervalued.

But after presenting a list of underrated draft targets last week, we’re taking a look at some overvalued players this week.

Many of the biggest busts are tied to injuries, whether they are of the nagging variety that drags down performance or the type that lands a player on the disabled list for a lengthy time. The problem is that injuries are nearly impossible to predict. (more…)

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