A look at the top 90, also broken down into tiers:
Outfield gets labeled a thin position by most analysts, but we’re here to tell you it’s a goldmine. That’s because our list of underrated and overrated players is so long that there are tons of buying opportunities.
This is one-stop shopping because outfield has a vast supply of all the categories and there are bargains aplenty if you know where to look. Just don’t wait too long, or you’ll wind up with a yawner like Ryan Ludwick in your lineup.
If you don’t get any of the big three of Carl Crawford, Ryan Braun and Carlos Gonzalez, the second tier isn’t that far behind with a number of five-category studs who could be in the top three going into next season.
Let’s cut to the chase, because we’ve got quite a list to get to.
The sixth in the RotoAce.com series of fantasy baseball position rankings is outfielders, so let’s look at how they all fit together and where you might find some potential bargains or pitfalls in your fantasy baseball draft or auction.
2011 Fantasy Baseball Outfielder Rankings and Projections
| TIER 1 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 1. Carl Crawford, Red Sox | 29 | 660 | .304 | 108 | 17 | 86 | 46 |
| 2. Ryan Braun, Brewers | 27 | 674 | .301 | 100 | 32 | 109 | 15 |
| 3. Carlos Gonzalez, Rockies | 25 | 652 | .302 | 97 | 29 | 103 | 24 |
| TIER 2 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 4. Matt Holliday, Cardinals | 31 | 654 | .305 | 95 | 25 | 107 | 11 |
| 5. Shin-Soo Choo, Indians | 28 | 644 | .298 | 92 | 22 | 95 | 21 |
| 6. Josh Hamilton, Rangers | 29 | 570 | .307 | 86 | 27 | 92 | 7 |
| 7. Matt Kemp, Dodgers | 26 | 692 | .278 | 87 | 27 | 92 | 24 |
| 8. Nelson Cruz, Rangers | 30 | 557 | .285 | 82 | 29 | 91 | 19 |
| 9. Andrew McCutchen, Pirates | 24 | 663 | .282 | 99 | 17 | 61 | 34 |
| 10. Justin Upton, Diamondbacks | 23 | 647 | .275 | 88 | 25 | 91 | 19 |
| 11. Jose Bautista, Blue Jays | 30 | 694 | .253 | 94 | 36 | 106 | 6 |
| 12. Jayson Werth, Nationals | 31 | 651 | .271 | 89 | 26 | 94 | 14 |
| 13. Jason Heyward, Braves | 21 | 640 | .284 | 92 | 22 | 90 | 13 |
| 14. Jay Bruce, Reds | 23 | 643 | .273 | 88 | 30 | 95 | 7 |
| 15. Hunter Pence, Astros | 27 | 634 | .280 | 82 | 24 | 88 | 16 |
| 16. Alex Rios, White Sox | 30 | 626 | .277 | 77 | 20 | 85 | 28 |
| TIER 3 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 17. Andre Ethier, Dodgers | 28 | 643 | .288 | 87 | 24 | 92 | 4 |
| 18. Jacoby Ellsbury, Red Sox | 27 | 601 | .287 | 87 | 6 | 58 | 50 |
| 19. Mike Stanton, Marlins | 21 | 629 | .255 | 84 | 35 | 98 | 7 |
| 20. Ichiro Suzuki, Mariners | 37 | 707 | .309 | 93 | 5 | 49 | 34 |
| 21. Shane Victorino, Phillies | 30 | 647 | .277 | 79 | 14 | 77 | 31 |
| 22. Nick Markakis, Orioles | 27 | 697 | .293 | 89 | 17 | 86 | 7 |
| 23. Colby Rasmus, Cardinals | 24 | 606 | .266 | 86 | 23 | 83 | 14 |
| 24. Corey Hart, Brewers | 29 | 611 | .271 | 77 | 24 | 86 | 10 |
| 25. Chris Young, Diamondbacks | 27 | 650 | .251 | 84 | 25 | 88 | 24 |
| 26. Drew Stubbs, Reds | 26 | 632 | .253 | 82 | 21 | 73 | 35 |
| 27. Brett Gardner, Yankees | 27 | 602 | .275 | 94 | 5 | 48 | 47 |
| 28. B.J. Upton, Rays | 26 | 628 | .247 | 79 | 17 | 70 | 41 |
| 29. Delmon Young, Twins | 25 | 641 | .294 | 78 | 19 | 85 | 6 |
| 30. Adam Jones, Orioles | 25 | 606 | .278 | 77 | 20 | 82 | 11 |
| 31. Curtis Granderson, Yankees | 30 | 540 | .260 | 72 | 23 | 78 | 14 |
| 32. Carlos Quentin, White Sox | 28 | 547 | .259 | 81 | 28 | 89 | 3 |
| 33. Nick Swisher, Yankees | 30 | 630 | .256 | 86 | 28 | 86 | 2 |
| 34. Vernon Wells, Angels | 32 | 631 | .268 | 75 | 23 | 84 | 10 |
| 35. Torii Hunter, Angels | 35 | 606 | .271 | 75 | 21 | 83 | 10 |
| 36. Juan Pierre, White Sox | 33 | 643 | .283 | 85 | 1 | 44 | 50 |
| 37. Rajai Davis, Blue Jays | 30 | 597 | .279 | 75 | 6 | 59 | 47 |
| TIER 4 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 38. Angel Pagan, Mets | 29 | 612 | .276 | 75 | 9 | 68 | 30 |
| 39. Jose Tabata, Pirates | 22 | 649 | .285 | 79 | 7 | 64 | 28 |
| 40. Dexter Fowler, Rockies | 25 | 643 | .278 | 88 | 9 | 54 | 25 |
| 41. Denard Span, Twins | 27 | 668 | .282 | 85 | 5 | 61 | 25 |
| 42. Austin Jackson, Tigers | 24 | 658 | .278 | 88 | 5 | 45 | 28 |
| 43. Jason Bay, Mets | 32 | 601 | .261 | 83 | 22 | 83 | 11 |
| 44. Carlos Lee, Astros | 34 | 631 | .270 | 75 | 24 | 83 | 4 |
| 45. Bobby Abreu, Angels | 37 | 615 | .264 | 76 | 14 | 71 | 21 |
| 46. Grady Sizemore, Indians | 28 | 540 | .255 | 75 | 18 | 65 | 17 |
| 47. Michael Bourn, Astros | 28 | 620 | .262 | 79 | 2 | 41 | 51 |
| 48. Travis Snider, Blue Jays | 23 | 540 | .265 | 69 | 25 | 80 | 8 |
| 49. Manny Ramirez, Rays | 38 | 466 | .284 | 69 | 18 | 78 | 0 |
| 50. Magglio Ordonez, Tigers | 37 | 534 | .295 | 72 | 15 | 73 | 2 |
| 51. Ryan Raburn, Tigers | 29 | 578 | .271 | 76 | 21 | 80 | 5 |
| 52. Luke Scott, Orioles | 32 | 558 | .265 | 76 | 25 | 78 | 2 |
| 53. Carlos Beltran, Mets | 33 | 515 | .273 | 68 | 17 | 70 | 10 |
| TIER 5 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 54. Peter Bourjos, Angels | 24 | 584 | .259 | 63 | 10 | 64 | 32 |
| 55. Julio Borbon, Rangers | 25 | 550 | .281 | 63 | 5 | 52 | 28 |
| 56. Coco Crisp, A’s | 31 | 488 | .265 | 62 | 7 | 49 | 28 |
| 57. Alfonso Soriano, Cubs | 35 | 545 | .263 | 69 | 23 | 75 | 8 |
| 58. Marlon Byrd, Cubs | 33 | 607 | .286 | 72 | 14 | 74 | 6 |
| 59. Michael Cuddyer, Twins | 32 | 643 | .269 | 79 | 16 | 75 | 5 |
| 60. Logan Morrison, Marlins | 23 | 617 | .277 | 80 | 10 | 73 | 3 |
| 61. Andres Torres, Giants | 33 | 565 | .261 | 77 | 13 | 61 | 23 |
| 62. Chris Coghlan, Marlins | 25 | 621 | .285 | 81 | 9 | 58 | 14 |
| 63. Franklin Gutierrez, Mariners | 28 | 635 | .257 | 69 | 14 | 68 | 22 |
| 64. Jason Kubel, Twins | 28 | 525 | .265 | 64 | 19 | 72 | 1 |
| 65. Will Venable, Padres | 28 | 552 | .242 | 63 | 15 | 60 | 25 |
| 66. Mike Morse, Nationals | 29 | 487 | .278 | 60 | 21 | 69 | 1 |
| 67. Tyler Colvin, Cubs | 25 | 545 | .255 | 63 | 21 | 69 | 6 |
| 68. J.D. Drew, Red Sox | 35 | 535 | .263 | 72 | 20 | 72 | 3 |
| 69. Seth Smith, Rockies | 28 | 502 | .279 | 69 | 18 | 70 | 4 |
| 70. Alex Gordon, Royals | 27 | 589 | .256 | 75 | 17 | 71 | 9 |
| 71. Raul Ibanez, Phillies | 38 | 545 | .263 | 63 | 15 | 71 | 3 |
| 72. Josh Willingham, A’s | 32 | 516 | .258 | 72 | 17 | 72 | 5 |
| 73. Cameron Maybin, Padres | 23 | 558 | .253 | 62 | 11 | 57 | 21 |
| 74. Michael Brantley, Indians | 23 | 540 | .270 | 59 | 5 | 48 | 23 |
| 75. Desmond Jennings, Rays | 24 | 404 | .266 | 51 | 4 | 36 | 26 |
| 76. Sean Rodriguez, Rays | 25 | 509 | .253 | 63 | 16 | 65 | 12 |
| 77. Domonic Brown, Phillies | 23 | 431 | .267 | 52 | 14 | 55 | 15 |
| 78. Nate McLouth, Braves | 29 | 497 | .251 | 63 | 14 | 58 | 15 |
| 79. Cody Ross, Giants | 30 | 577 | .265 | 63 | 18 | 69 | 6 |
| 80. Johnny Damon, Rays | 37 | 579 | .266 | 68 | 10 | 63 | 12 |
| 81. Ryan Ludwick, Padres | 32 | 557 | .255 | 67 | 19 | 70 | 2 |
| 82. Omar Infante, Marlins | 29 | 630 | .290 | 71 | 6 | 65 | 7 |
| 83. David DeJesus, A’s | 31 | 582 | .286 | 70 | 8 | 64 | 6 |
| 84. Pat Burrell, Giants | 34 | 537 | .242 | 65 | 20 | 63 | 0 |
| 85. David Murphy, Rangers | 29 | 463 | .275 | 55 | 12 | 59 | 10 |
| 86. Matt Joyce, Rays | 26 | 452 | .249 | 59 | 17 | 61 | 5 |
| 87. Ben Francisco, Phillies | 29 | 421 | .265 | 51 | 12 | 54 | 10 |
| 88. Carlos Gomez, Brewers | 25 | 477 | .245 | 50 | 6 | 44 | 24 |
| 89. Jeff Francoeur, Royals | 27 | 557 | .252 | 67 | 13 | 66 | 5 |
| 90. Garrett Jones, Pirates | 29 | 448 | .265 | 51 | 17 | 53 | 5 |
Overrated
Michael Bourn (ADP #27, RotoAce #47) is too much of a one-category player, as his average lags behind other elite base stealers and the Astros’ lineup limits his run-production capabilities.
Domonic Brown (ADP #59, RotoAce #77) is out with surgery on a broken hamate bone in his hand, but he was already overrated before that injury put a dent in his projections. Yeah, he’s a great prospect, but the Phillies may not have the patience that a lower-division team might have if Brown struggles in his first full exposure to major-league pitching.
Scott Podsednik (ADP #76, RotoAce NR) is fighting for a spot on the Blue Jays’ bench, so there just aren’t enough ABs here to make him even worth drafting.
B.J. Upton (ADP #20, RotoAce #29) continues to hold a spell on fantasy owners who want to be there when the 26-year-old finally blows up. It’s just too high a price to pay for a lot of steals when the average hasn’t shown any signs of coming around.
Delmon Young (ADP #25, RotoAce #30) had his career season last year with 112 RBIs, but he still doesn’t get on base enough to score many runs, has mediocre power and very little speed. Don’t pay for a repeat of the RBIs that is unlikely to come.
Curtis Granderson (ADP #24, RotoAce #31) was a major disappointment for much of last year before a late-season surge, but he’s not enough of a help in any one category to justify paying the big-name Yankee price tag.
Michael Cuddyer (ADP #47, RotoAce #59) hit just 14 home runs last year after 32 the previous season, so don’t overpay for power that may not return at age 32 in homer-challenged Target Field.
Andres Torres (ADP #49, RotoAce #61) was one of 2010’s greatest rags to riches stories, enjoying an incredibly rare age-32 breakout. As a general rule of thumb, don’t pay for career years, so expect a bit of a dip in his numbers.
Jason Kubel (ADP #52, RotoAce #64) followed up his .300-28-103 line of 2009 with a still respectable .249-21-92, but his inability to hit lefties (career .236 against southpaws) severely limits his ceiling, especially if he falls into a dreaded platoon.
Johnny Damon (ADP #69, RotoAce #80) is nearing the end after managing just eight homers and 11 SBs last year. The 37-year-old has to produce or risk losing ABs to younger Rays outfielders. Don’t pay for his name.
Nate McLouth (ADP #68, RotoAce #80) was having one of the all-time flop seasons, spending over a month in the minors and hitting .165 going into the final month before showing some signs of life in September – this from a guy who had averaged a 20-20 season over the three previous years. McLouth is worth a flier, but not as early as he’s being drafted in ESPN leagues.
Raul Ibanez (ADP #62, RotoAce #71) once again was the tale of two halves, hitting .243 before the All-Star break and .309 after. Ibanez still hits near the middle of a productive offense, but at age 38, the slumps will start to outweigh the streaks and there isn’t enough of any one category to make him worth what you’ll likely have to pay for the name-brand recognition.
Jonny Gomes (ADP #77, RotoAce NR) finished with a career-high 86 RBIs in his first season with 500+ ABs. Now repeat: do not pay for career years, especially not 30-year-old journeymen OFs.
J.D. Drew (ADP #54, RotoAce #68) is consistent … at sitting with an assortment of petty injuries and putting up mediocre fantasy numbers. If 20 homers, 70 RBIs and a maddening array of headaches is what you’re looking for, Drew’s your man.
Cody Ross (ADP #63, RotoAce #79) may still be getting a little too much love from his out-of-this-world postseason performance. It shouldn’t hide the fact that Ross annually arrives at his mediocre season totals on the strength of a few hot streaks like the one he had last October.
Carlos Gomez (ADP 78, RotoAce #88) can still cover center field and run the bases like a gazelle, but the guy can’t figure out a way to get on base. In parts of four major-league seasons, Gomez has yet to crack a .300 OBP. There are no signs that he’s learned anything yet, so look elsewhere to chase steals.
Underrated
Shin-Soo Choo (ADP #11, RotoAce #5) is the quintessential five-category star who doesn’t shine enough in any one category to make fans sit up and take notice. Now with the weight of a possible military service obligation in his home country of South Korea gone and Scott Boras in tow as his new agent looking for his next megadeal, Choo is poised to have a true breakout. Even if the breakout doesn’t come, it’s nice to be able to put .300 with a 20-20 in the bank.
Nick Markakis (ADP #36, RotoAce #22) was much like Choo as an under-the-radar five-category contributor until last year, when he slipped to 60 RBIs after averaging 100 over the previous three seasons. Entering his age-27 season and with a much-improved Orioles lineup around him, Markakis is a good bet to get back to where he was or even beyond.
Nick Swisher (ADP #41, RotoAce #33) is a rare bird – an underrated Yankee! Swisher found a way to raise his average 39 points last season while dropping his OBP by 12 points, by cutting his walk rate almost in half. If he can keep his average up while smashing his customary 29 homers in the middle of one of the best offenses in baseball, Swisher will be a steal. Even if the average drops near .250 like we project, he still is a nice bargain for his consistent run production.
Denard Span (ADP #50, RotoAce #41) battled an assortment of minor injuries last year and his average dropped 47 points from the previous season. If Span can get on base like he did in 2009 (.392 OBP), expect a lot of runs and steals – the 27-year-old was 26-of-30 on stolen-base attempts last year when he only had a .331 OBP.
Austin Jackson (ADP #51, RotoAce #42) turned in a remarkable rookie season, scoring 103 runs while riding a league-high BABIP to a .293 average. Some sabermetricly-inclined owners are staying away as they perceive Jackson to be “lucky,” but he always had high BABIPs in the minors thanks to his blazing speed and ability to keep the ball out of the air.
Magglio Ordonez (ADP #60, RotoAce #50) was having a nice bounce-back season before a broken ankle ended his year in July. There’s a lot of wear and tear on this 37-year-old body, but the .312 career hitter was flashing enough power before the injury to think that there’s plenty left in the tank.
Franklin Gutierrez (ADP #70, RotoAce #63) got caught up in the black hole that was the Mariners’ offense in 2010, seeing his average drop 38 points and his runs fall by 24. But the defensive whiz was successful on 25-of-28 stolen-base attempts, so if the ice thaws on the Seattle lineup and the average rises back to where it was, Gutierrez could be a major find this season. Our projection has him just hitting .257, but he’s a cheap source of steals with double-digit homers.
Julio Borbon (ADP #72, RotoAce #55) stumbled out of the gate with a 3-for-36 start last season, losing his spot atop the explosive Rangers lineup in the process. He finally showed what he could do in September when he hit .341 with 5 steals, 11 runs and 14 RBIs in 25 games. The expected breakout could come a year late, or he could just settle into being a nice source of steals.
Will Venable (ADP #70, RotoAce #65) put up one of the quieter 13-homer, 29-steal seasons you’ll ever see, thanks in part to playing half his games in the fantasy wasteland of Petco Park. Venable managed to hit six homers at home, so the late-blooming 28-year-old should again provide a lot of bang for the buck (literally, may be had for $1 in some auctions). His ceiling is more limited by his .154 average against lefties, so don’t get too excited.
Peter Bourjos (ADP #84, RotoAce #54) made headlines when he was called up in August to start in center field for the Angels, pushing perennial Gold Glover Torii Hunter over the right. But he only showed flashes at the plate, hitting just .204 with six homers and 10 steals in 51 games. The speed and power is here for a Drew Stubbs-like breakout, although we’d settle for the 10 HRs and 32 SBs we have projected to provide a nice return on a small investment.
Coco Crisp (ADP #70, RotoAce #56) squeezed in just 75 games between his usual slew of injuries, but he sure made them count this time. Once considered the second coming of Johnny Damon, Crisp crashed out with just 180 ABs and a .228 average with the Royals in 2009. Then it took him until the end of June to get in the Oakland lineup to stay, but he piled up 32 steals, 51 runs and eight homers. If you draft Crisp, be sure to get a solid backup, but Crisp can be an impact starter when healthy and worth the risk.
Jose Tabata (ADP #64, RotoAce #39) arrived in Pittsburgh without the fanfare of fellow top prospect Pedro Alvarez, but had a similarly impressive debut by hitting .299 with 19 steals and 61 runs in 102 games. Still just 22 years old, Tabata has the power potential to eventually turn into another Andrew McCutchen. In the meantime, Tabata’s an underpriced source of steals and more.
Dexter Fowler (ADP #67, RotoAce #40) should finally receive full-time ABs in the Rockies’ outfield – and look what that did for Carlos Gonzalez a year ago. Fowler doesn’t have the power for a full Car-Go breakout, but 25+ steals and solid peripherals amplified by the light air at Coors Field would make Fowler a solid value.
Michael Brantley (ADP #92, RotoAce #74) was a speedy on-base machine in the minors, so if he can hold down a spot in the Indians’ outfield, Brantley could provide an excellent return if you’re looking for cheap steals.
Josh Willingham (ADP #90, RotoAce #72) seems to be getting penalized for getting traded to Oakland, but Willingham has always played for teams with spacious ballparks (Marlins and Nationals) and still managed good power numbers. Think of him as a solid power option off your bench.
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