A look at the top 30, also broken down into tiers:
First base continues to be the deepest position, but it lost some notable players who had dual eligibility last year in Pablo Sandoval, Mark Reynolds, Victor Martinez and Nick Swisher. Meanwhile, an influx of young talent has fortified the position but is probably not ready to make a big impact in Ike Davis, Gaby Sanchez, Justin Smoak and Freddie Freeman. This all means that the strategy of waiting to draft a first baseman loses a little bit of credence and makes Albert Pujols that much more of a lock if you have the No. 1 pick.
Miguel Cabrera and Joey Votto have closed the gap on Pujols, and Adrian Gonzalez is poised to make a run at King Albert this season. Prince Fielder, Mark Teixeira and Ryan Howard look to bounce back from down seasons and remain top fall-back options.
Paul Konerko proved last year that first base is the position that ages the most gracefully, so don’t go forgetting about grizzled veterans Lance Berkman, Derrek Lee, Carlos Lee and Aubrey Huff.
The second in the RotoAce.com series of fantasy baseball position rankings is first basemen, so let’s look at how they all fit together and where you might find some potential bargains or pitfalls in your fantasy baseball draft or auction. All ages are as of Opening Day.
2011 Fantasy Baseball First Baseman Rankings and Projections
| TIER 1 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 1. Albert Pujols, Cardinals | 31 | 657 | .320 | 110 | 37 | 113 | 10 |
| 2. Miguel Cabrera, Tigers | 27 | 648 | .310 | 100 | 33 | 112 | 4 |
| 3. Joey Votto, Reds | 27 | 655 | .300 | 101 | 31 | 104 | 11 |
| TIER 2 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 4. Adrian Gonzalez, Red Sox | 28 | 683 | .290 | 100 | 36 | 110 | 1 |
| 5. Prince Fielder, Brewers | 26 | 669 | .280 | 102 | 37 | 108 | 1 |
| 6. Mark Teixeira, Yankees | 31 | 665 | .280 | 101 | 33 | 105 | 0 |
| 7. Ryan Howard, Phillies | 31 | 668 | .260 | 93 | 40 | 108 | 1 |
| TIER 3 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 8. Kevin Youkilis, Red Sox | 32 | 621 | .290 | 92 | 24 | 95 | 4 |
| 9. Adam Dunn, White Sox | 31 | 659 | .250 | 94 | 39 | 101 | 1 |
| 10. Billy Butler, Royals | 24 | 662 | .300 | 88 | 17 | 87 | 0 |
| 11. Justin Morneau, Twins | 29 | 562 | .290 | 80 | 23 | 86 | 0 |
| 12. Paul Konerko, White Sox | 35 | 622 | .270 | 83 | 29 | 90 | 0 |
| 13. Kendry Morales, Angels | 27 | 535 | .290 | 76 | 24 | 84 | 1 |
| TIER 4 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 14. Lance Berkman, Cardinals | 35 | 593 | .270 | 80 | 23 | 80 | 4 |
| 15. Carlos Lee, Astros | 34 | 631 | .270 | 75 | 24 | 83 | 4 |
| 16. Carlos Pena, Cubs | 32 | 616 | .230 | 82 | 32 | 86 | 3 |
| 17. Kila Ka’aihue, Royals | 27 | 645 | .260 | 89 | 28 | 84 | 1 |
| 18. Adam LaRoche, Nationals | 31 | 629 | .260 | 79 | 24 | 82 | 2 |
| 19. Aubrey Huff, Giants | 34 | 619 | .280 | 82 | 20 | 80 | 3 |
| 20. Derrek Lee, Orioles | 35 | 572 | .270 | 72 | 19 | 85 | 5 |
| 21. Gaby Sanchez, Marlins | 27 | 626 | .270 | 81 | 18 | 78 | 5 |
| 22. Mitch Moreland, Rangers | 25 | 557 | .270 | 71 | 18 | 73 | 4 |
| 23. James Loney, Dodgers | 26 | 648 | .280 | 78 | 12 | 71 | 7 |
| 24. Ike Davis, Mets | 24 | 647 | .260 | 80 | 18 | 76 | 3 |
| TIER 5 | Age | PA | BA | R | HR | RBI | SB |
| 25. Matt LaPorta, Indians | 26 | 644 | .250 | 75 | 24 | 80 | 1 |
| 26. Michael Cuddyer, Twins | 32 | 643 | .270 | 77 | 16 | 75 | 5 |
| 27. Justin Smoak, Mariners | 24 | 634 | .240 | 75 | 18 | 67 | 1 |
| 28. Freddie Freeman, Braves* | 21 | 563 | .270 | 66 | 14 | 68 | 2 |
| 29. Brett Wallace, Astros | 24 | 588 | .260 | 68 | 18 | 67 | 0 |
| 30. Garrett Jones, Pirates | 29 | 448 | .270 | 51 | 17 | 53 | 5 |
Overrated
Aubrey Huff (ADP #14, RotoAce #19) was one of the most pleasant surprises last year, but now you don’t want to pay the resulting increased price. Huff’s been so inconsistent in his career that it’s not safe to put too much stock in a 34-year-old coming off only his second above-average season in his past four. There just aren’t a ton of offensive numbers to go around in the Giants’ mediocre lineup and pitcher-friendly home ballpark.
Garrett Jones (ADP #24, RotoAce #30) came back to earth last season after an unlikely breakout as a 28-year-old rookie in 2009. Now he’ll platoon with Matt Diaz in left field for the Pirates after hitting just .220 against lefties last season. While this may allow his average to come up around the .262 he hit against righties, it will hurt his counting stats too much to make him worth starting in fantasy. Jones is barely worth a spot as a bench flier in case he comes into more ABs.
Underrated
Kila Ka’aihue (ADP #26, RotoAce #17) finally arrived in Kansas City for more than a cup of coffee last season and flashed the power and patience that were his calling card in the minors. The 27-year-old should be able to hold down a regular job this season, rotating between first base and DH with Billy Butler. Ka’aihue’s career path is reminiscent of Kevin Youkilis, whose ability to draw walks kept him on the prospect radar until finally getting a full-time gig as a 27-year-old in 2006. But Youkilis never hit for the power in the minors that Ka’aihue did. So what we’re saying is that the Royals had a more powerful version of Youkilis rotting in Triple-A for three years! The main risks are that the Royals could still find a way to screw this up, and that elite first base prospect Eric Hosmer could force his way into the picture before season’s end. We’re betting that Ka’aihue cashes in on his opportunity and becomes a fantasy breakout this season.
Lance Berkman (ADP #21, RotoAce #14) never really got it going after having knee surgery in the spring. Just when he was rounding into form, the Astros shipped him off to the American League, where it took him a while to get adjusted to life as a Yankee. Now, he’ll be back in the NL and hitting in the middle of a potent Cardinals lineup alongside Pujols and Matt Holliday. Veteran hitters have a way of finding a second life in St. Louis under Tony LaRussa – remember Scott Rolen and Jim Edmonds? This is a guy with a career .959 OPS who was still at .895 two seasons ago, so don’t stick a fork in the Big Puma just yet.
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